$HB
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表示自己在 LPK 上的仓位最高
@tw_crypto_ 对,我在 $LPK 上的仓位最高……感觉像 HB / LPK 这种更上游的供应商,比 SKC 更去风险。
英文原文
@tw_crypto_ Yeah I have highest concentration in $LPK... feels like more upstream suppliers like HB/LPK are more derisked than SKC.
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认为做多 SKC 生态不算差
做玻璃核心基板的话,做多 SKC 生态好像也不算太差? SKC(011790)—— 在 CHIPS Act 资金支持下,是玻璃核心基板的领导者之一,市值约 55 亿美元。 HB technologies(078150)—— 自动光学检测 / 良率,借着 SKC Absolics 做二次增长,市值约 2.5 亿美元。 SKC 的铜箔 / 电动车旧业务拖累似乎已经在见底。它的财报看上去像一团糟,但其实已经被市值定价进去,而且比那些有 60 亿美元以上稀释的美国公司要好。 HB 风险更低,估值也不高,而玻璃的良率会变得非常重要。 我在这两只上都只有很小的仓位。 本来还想再等一等,但市场看起来已经在把玻璃定价成下一个可能的 memory / photonics 交易。
英文原文
For Glass Core Substrates, doesn't feel too bad going long on the SKC ecosystem? SKC (011790) - Is one of the Glass Core Substrate leaders with CHIPS ACT funding at ~$5.5B MC HB technologies (078150) - automated optical inspection / yields piggy backing off of SKC Absolics at ~$250M. SKC's copper foil / EV legacy drag seems to be bottoming. Their financials seem like a dumpster fire, but it's kinda priced into MC + better than US companies with $6B+ in dilution. HB seems lower risk, low p/e and yields for glass is going to be pretty important. I do have very small exposure to both. Was going to wait a bit longer but seems markets are pricing in Glass as the next possible memory/photonics trade.