· 供应链分析

NVDA指引超预期,AI供应链瓶颈环节将迎来爆发。

涉及标的:

相关概念: 隐形冠军AI 资本支出

中文翻译

提醒AI看空者:$NVDA 预测2027年超大规模云厂商支出将达1.3万亿美元。较2026年约8000亿美元大幅增长,尽管产能仍受限,营收增速仍达约70%,远超华尔街此前约45%的预期。这些资本支出流向AI供应链……从存储、网络到晶圆代工厂。尤其是那些未从旧世代中受益的新瓶颈/卡点环节。我们就像派对刚开始2小时,大家起初喝的是札幌生啤。有人往情境(Situational)的酒里加了烈酒,我们不得不暂停派对30分钟。但现在派对重启,桌上摆满了龙舌兰酒。我认为真正的狂欢即将开始。

英文原文

FYI to the AI bears: $NVDA projects $1.3T of hyperscaler spend for 2027. Up from ~$800B in 2026, alongside ~70% revenue growth despite remaining capacity constrained… far above prior Street expectations of ~45%. That capex flows across the AI supply chain… from memory and networking to foundries. Especially through the new bottlenecks/chokepoints that didn’t benefit from older generations. We’re like 2 hours into the party where people started off drinking Sapporo draft beer. Someone spiked Situational’s drinks and we had to pause the party for 30 min. But now it’s back on with tequila shots on the table. I think the real party is about to begin.

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