· 供应链分析

双寡头把控原料和基材瓶颈,小市值光电子公司具重估潜力。

涉及标的:

中文翻译

这取决于你认为光电子市场规模有多大,以及你认为超大规模运营商会投入多少价值来保障供应链安全。如果看看$SNDK和NAND,我们已经见识过类似的情况。你越往产业链下游走,比如激光器或成品光收发器,通常收入和利润率都更高。但如果你是双寡头,且在原料和基材两方面都占据着一个关键瓶颈,那么我认为一家$2B的公司在AI以光电子技术扩展的未来有很大的重新估值空间。

英文原文

Depends how big you think photonics is and how much value you think hyperscalers would place to secure their supply chain. If you look at $SNDK and NAND, we’ve already seen what it’s like. The more downstream you go like lasers or finished transceivers typically have higher revenue/margins. But if you’re a duopoly and hold a major chokepoint around both feedstock and substrates, I think there’s a lot of room for rerating a $2B company when the future of AI is scaled with photonics.

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