· 个股论点
涉及标的： $EWY
不确定是不是只有我这么觉得？ 但我一直在追踪三星/SK海力士与DRAM/NAND涨价报道之间的相关性。 每当有关于DRAM和NAND大幅涨价的报道时，它们两者以及 $EWY 似乎都会下跌。 然后之后又会展开一波反弹？ 例如，上个月 Trendforce 报道了DRAM涨70%和NAND涨100%+，三星/SK海力士在消息发布后都下跌了。 1个月后它们上涨了27.8%。 这次在 sedaily 和 digitimes 报道DRAM涨价后，两者再次下跌。但也许伊朗战争是一个更多的混淆因素。 在利好消息下下跌似乎非常反直觉。但最终基本面会占据主导？ 特别是如果明年，SK海力士2026-2027年的营业利润最终超过其市值？ 例如，麦格理在2月24-25日给出的预测：~1905亿美元 + ~3128亿美元营业利润预测（5030亿美元营业利润 vs. SK海力士~5140亿美元市值）。
Not sure if it's just me? But I've been tracking Samsung/SK Hynix correlation to DRAM/NAND price hikes reports. Every time there's news about reported massive hikes on DRAM on NAND, they both + $EWY seem to drop. Then afterwards, it pulls off a rally? For example, last month Trendforce reported 70% DRAM and 100%+ NAND hikes and Samsung/Sk Hynix both dropped following the news. 1 month later it increased 27.8%. This time both have dropped again after DRAM price hikes from sedaily and digitimes. But maybe the war in Iran is more of a confounding factor. Seems very counterintuitive going down on positive news. But eventually fundamentals take over? Especially if by next year, SK Hynix's operating income for 2026-2027 ends up surpassing its marketcap? eg. ~$190.5 billion USD+ ~$312.8 billion USD operating income projections ($503B operating income vs. Sk Hynix~$514B MC) from Macquarie on the 24th-25th in Feb.