中文翻译
过去一个月的新闻：“与伊朗的战争迫在眉睫”。 X 上的散户：“没人预料到会发生这种事！现在是恐慌的时候！” 是的，很多因素已经被计入价格，例如能源 ETF $XLE（年初至今上涨 25%）或 $NOC（年初至今上涨 27%），这些表现异常。 预计散户会出现大量波动，但机构/交易员（大多已重新调整仓位）将利用这一点。
· 方法论
机构已提前布局地缘风险，散户恐慌波动将被机构利用。
英文原文
News for the last month: "War with Iran is Imminent" Retail on X: "Nobody expected this to happen! Everyone time to panic!" So yes a lot of it has been priced in with Energy ETFs $XLE (up 25% YTD) or $NOC (up 27% YTD), which have been abnormal. Expect a lot of retail volatility, but institutions/traders (who have largely already re-positioned) will use this to their advantage.