2026-01-04 · 个股论点

构建八只股票组合，从委内瑞拉政权更迭及国家重建中获利。

涉及标的： $ASHM $AVAV $CF $CVX $GDRZF $HII $OI $TRGP

中文翻译

马杜罗现已被捕于纽约，面临指控。大家脑海中浮现的第一个问题是：如何从美国入侵委内瑞拉和政权更迭中获利？方法如下。这是“国家重建”港口： 1. $GDRZF @$1.68 - $80亿+索赔，$2亿市值。（30%） 2. $ASHM @ £175.10 - 3倍净资产值债券回收（20%） 3. $CVX @ $155.90 - 锁定资产+ $17万亿石油最明显的石油标的（15%配置/看涨期权） 4. $TRGP @ $186.77 - 向委内瑞拉出口的稀释剂出口商（10%配置/看涨期权） 5. $AVAV @ $256.19 - 海上作业及防御领域$1万亿后资金注入。（10%配置） 6. $CF @ $80.13 - 特立尼达和多巴哥氨出口中断。（5%配置） 7. $HII @ $349.7 - 从封锁造船中获利（5%配置） 8. $OI @ $15.16 - 索赔约$7亿，相对市值35%现金注入（5%配置）这套布局看起来是利用美国入侵委内瑞拉获利的最佳方式——从封锁获利到拥有现在归美国所有的$17万亿+石油资源。 “国家重建”是进入2027年最被低估的主题。观察周一及随后几个月发生的情况。

英文原文

Maduro is now captured in NY, facing charges. The first thing that came to everyone's mind is: How do you profit off the US invasion of Venezuela and Regime Change? Here's how. This is the "Nation Building" port: 1. $GDRZF @$1.68 - $8B+ claims, $200m MC. (30%) 2. $ASHM @ £175.10 - 3x NAV bonds recovery (20%) 3. $CVX @ $155.90 - Most obvious oil play from locked up assets + $17T in oil (15% allocation / calls) 4. $TRGP @ $186.77 - Diluent exporter to Venezuela (10% allocation / calls) 5. $AVAV @ $256.19 - Maritime operations and post $1T funding for defense. ( 10% allocation) 6. $CF @ $80.13 - Disruption of Trinidad & Tobago ammonia exports. (5% allocation) 7. $HII @ $349.7 - Profiting off the blockade from shipbuilding (5% allocation) 8. $OI @ $15.16 - Claims ~$700M, 35% cash injection relative to market cap (5% allocation) This setup looks to be the optimal way to capitalize on the US invasion of Venezuela - from profiting off the blockade to the new $17T+ in oil resources now owned by the United States. "Nation Building" is the most underrated theme going into 2027. Watch what happens on Monday and the following months.

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