· 方法论

作者表示将持有,认为走势类似2021年,预计降息后市场将垂直上涨。

中文翻译

不,我会持有,但发帖只是半开玩笑,因为不可能正确择时。不过与2021年相比确实非常诡异,因为走势模式看起来很相似。例如,我们又有两次跟随季节性的降息,所以我预计未来几个月会出现垂直上涨。显然还有很多其他因素起作用,但即使历史不会重演,也常常押韵。

英文原文

Nope, I'm holding, but just half-joking with the post because it's impossible to time the market correctly. It's just very uncanny to 2021 though because pattern looks similar. Eg. we have another 2x rate cuts following seasonality so I'd expect a vertical line up for the next few months. Obviously there's a lot more that comes into play but history does rhyme a lot even if it doesn't repeat.

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