· 方法论
我不会在美联储会议当天进行交易。我个人会在会议前降低风险，并保留高确信度的股票，因为我没有明确的答案。更好的做法是将抢跑交易作为催化剂，因为降息几乎确定，这就是我之前的做法，例如 https://t.co/5pzt65jDUc。不过我猜测，做市商(MM)可能会利用降息作为借口，清洗掉19日到期的巨额未平仓合约。如果他们这样做，将是一个良好的买入机会；但如果你需要对冲，VIX看涨期权始终是一个不错的选择，因为目前它相当低。当然我也可能错了，因为由于美元印钞+特朗普削减企业税，人们预计股票会处于这些水平甚至更高，尽管已经有很多针对降息的抢跑交易，我们仍在不断推高股价。但总体而言，这对未来一年的股票是积极的，所以除非你持有0DTE或本周到期的看涨期权，否则我根本不会交易它，如果下跌，就利用这个机会买入更多。
I wouldn't trade the day of FED meeting. I'd personally de-risk before + keep high conviction stocks since I don't have an answer. The better thing to do would be to trade the frontrunning as a catalyst since rate cuts are almost certain, which was what I was doing eg. https://t.co/5pzt65jDUc For my guess though, MM's might use rate cut as an excuse to wipe out the extreme amount open interest expiring the 19th. If they do, it's a good buying opportunity, but if you need to hedge, VIX calls is always a good option since it's pretty low right now. Could be wrong though since stocks are expected to be at these levels or even higher because of USD printing + Trump cutting corporate taxes and we keep pumping higher even though there's been a lot of frontrunning for rate cut. But generally it's positive for stocks over the next year so unless have 0dte or doing calls expiring this week, I just wouldn't trade it and if it falls, use the opportunity to buy more.