· 业绩复盘

博主澄清免费分享初衷,解释高杠杆组合回撤原因,看好AI结构性需求。

相关概念: 光子学 Photonics

中文翻译

谢谢!我一直免费分享个人研究和核心观点。不试图推销任何东西,也不告诉别人该怎么做。 最重要的是,我对自己的收益(无论盈亏)保持透明。 也许这种信息民主化让某些商业模式感到不安…… 当别人试图推销他们那永远正确、预测了半导体崩盘的40美元技术分析订阅时。 但如果他们真的相信这一点,他们早就通过买入看跌期权赚了5000%+,就不需要营销付费墙了。 是的,如果我使用1.4倍杠杆,且集中在存储/光子学底层资产的组合平均下跌35%……你会得到49%的回撤。 我只是分享发生了什么。 但我预计AI股会复苏,因为我看到从算力到能源、存储到网络的需求都是结构性的。

英文原文

Thanks! I’ve always shared personal research and core thoughts for free. Not trying to sell anything or tell others what to do. And above all, just being transparent about my own returns (win or loss) Maybe this information democratization upsets some business models… When others try and pitch their $40 TA subscriptions that are always right and predicted the semis crash. But if they really believed it, they would have made 5000%+ buying puts and wouldn’t need to market a paywall. Yes, if I’m on 1.4x leverage, and if a portfolio concentrated in memory/photonics underlying crashes -35% on avg… you get a 49% drawdown. I’m just sharing what happens. But I expect AI names to recover since I see demand from compute to energy to memory to networking to be structural.

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