· 个股论点
涉及标的： $BKR$CVX$HAL$MPC$PSX$VLO
突发消息： 1. 特朗普很可能补贴委内瑞拉的石油公司。 2. 特朗普目前正在会见美国石油公司领导人，讨论这些补贴并立即提升石油产量。 以下是可能获得资金和受益的公司： $CVX - 雪佛龙：美国补贴基本板上钉钉，因为它是目前唯一能立即部署这些补贴的美国主要公司。 炼油商 $VLO, $PSX 和 $MPC - 这些炼油厂专为处理委内瑞拉重质原油而建。补贴意味着石油流动更快，尽管由于参与者众多，具体分配更具投机性。 服务公司 $HAL, $BKR - 这些公司不拥有石油，但负责修复管道。随着美国修复极其老旧的管道，许多此类公司可能会收到补贴。 对于美国公司而言，无需承担自身资本风险即可利用委内瑞拉价值17万亿美元的石油储备“金矿”，这是极具回报的。 市场最初将高资本支出(Capex)计入其中几家公司的估值，现在随着对这些补贴的预期，我们可能会看到市场重新评级。 美国为石油公司支出提供资金改变了整体格局，对雪佛龙等石油公司构成利好。
Just in: 1. Trump likely to Subsidize Oil Firms in Venezuela. 2. Trump is now currently meeting US Oil company leaders to discuss these subsidies and boosting Oil Production immediately Here’s what companies likely receives the funding and benefits: $CVX - Chevron US subsidies are basically guaranteed as they are the only U.S. major currently left that can use to immediately deploy these subsidies. Refiners $VLO, $PSX and $MPC - These refiners are built to process Venezuelan heavy crude. Subsidies mean the oil flows faster, albeit the exact allocations are more speculative due to multiple players. Service Companies $HAL, $BKR - These companies don't own the oil but they do fix the pipes. Many of these companies will likely receive subsidizes, as the US fixes extremely old pipelines. This is incredibly rewarding for US companies to capitalize on the $17T gold mine of Venezuelan oil reserves, without risking their own capital. Markets were initially pricing in high capex spend with a few of these, and now we might see a market re-rating in anticipation of these subsidies. US funding oil company spend changes the equation across the board and is bullish for oil firms like Chevron.