中文翻译
我完全同意关于 $VLO 利润立即扩张的观点。然而,这涉及地缘政治角度:$CVX 基本上已成为美国政府在石油领域的非官方国家臂膀,类似于英特尔在半导体领域的地位。它是委内瑞拉唯一仍在运营的公司,鉴于特朗普希望开采石油并在中期选举前压低油价,其重要性至关重要。如果将其视为基本继承了一个国家的石油部门,5% 的涨幅并未完全反映这一价值。这不仅仅是雪佛龙发现了新垂直领域,更像是雪佛龙成为了委内瑞拉的石油运营商,仅凭这一角度就值得给予市盈率倍数溢价,因为其委内瑞拉资产已实现去风险化。
· 个股论点
我完全同意关于 $VLO 利润立即扩张的观点。然而,这涉及地缘政治角度:$CVX 基本上已成为美国政府在石油领域的非官方国家臂膀,类似于英特尔在半导体领域的地位。它是委内瑞拉唯一仍在运营的公司,鉴于特朗普希望开采石油并在中期选举前压低油价,其重要性至关重要。如果将其视为基本继承了一个国家的石油部门,5% 的涨幅并未完全反映这一价值。这不仅仅是雪佛龙发现了新垂直领域,更像是雪佛龙成为了委内瑞拉的石油运营商,仅凭这一角度就值得给予市盈率倍数溢价,因为其委内瑞拉资产已实现去风险化。
So I definitely agree about $VLO with immediate profit expansion. However, this is is taking the geopolitical angle that $CVX has basically become unspoken US Gov national arm for Oil, similar to Intel for semis. It’s the only one standing in Venezuela, and is of critical importance given Trump wants to harvest the oil, and lower oil prices before midterm elections. If you look at it in the way it basically inherited a country’s oil sector a 5% bump is not quite pricing that in. It’s not quite Chevron found a new vertical, it’s more like Chevron became the oil operator of Venezuela and that angle alone deserves p/e multiple added given its Venezuelan assets are derisked