· 个股论点

ETH网络增长但价值外流,L2导致销毁量低,高价下投资逻辑失效。

涉及标的:

中文翻译

以太坊网络本身正在增长。但 Vitalik 扩展以太坊的方式将经济价值从资产本身推开了。 这就是让 $ETH / $BMNR 在 $4K 以上成为糟糕投资(尽管是好交易)的残酷经济现实。 L2 削弱了持有者的价值捕获,因为数据可用性(DA)和区块空间(blockspace)并非如此运作(10倍使用量 -> 10倍 DA 费用 -> 10倍销毁)。生态系统使用量创历史新高,但 $ETH 销毁量却处于历史低位(ATL),这正是展示这种差异的关键指标。 压缩的低成本 Blob 意味着数十亿级的 L2 活动仅转化为极少量的主网 ETH 支出。 主网每天仅销毁数十枚 ETH,远低于 EIP-4844 之前的数百/数千枚。你说得对,L2 确实改变了 ETH 的价值捕获机制……通过将其移出 ETH。 你可以争论作为抵押品资产的投资选项和价值捕获的转移。但最初证明 ETH 作为投资合理性的主要代币经济学已不复存在: ETH 作为资产的价格不再与网络使用量成比例增长。

英文原文

Ethereum's network itself is growing. But the way Vitalik scaled Ethereum pushed economic value away from the asset. That's the sad economic reality that makes $ETH / $BMNR a terrible investment above $4K (it's a good trade). L2's weakened value accrual for holders because it doesn't work this way with DA and blockspace (10x usage -> 10x DA fees -> 10x burn). Ecosystem usage hits new highs, yet $ETH burn ATLs is exactly what you look at to show this disparity. Compressed, low-cost blobs mean that billions in L2 activity translate into only a tiny amount of ETH spent on mainnet Mainnet is burning tens of eth a day, down from hundreds/thousands a day before EIP-4844. You're right by saying L2s have genuinely changed ETH's value accrual mechanics... by moving it off of ETH. You can argue collateral asset as a investment option and a shift of value accrual. But the main token economics that originally justified ETH as an investment doesn't exist anymore: ETH price as an asset no longer scales proportionately with network usage.

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